Saturday, May 28, 2016

Frustrating Forecasting

Developing thunderstorm over the Oquirrh Mountains yesterday morning
It's been a tough go finding something to blog about in the current pattern.  With weak troughing and instability over the region for many many days, we've had nothing but hit-and-miss showers and thunderstorms.  Such patterns are the ultimate in forecasting frustration for me. There's no magic pill you can take to forecast this stuff.  You can go for modest changes in coverage and frequency (e.g., today probably won't be as active as yesterday in the Salt Lake Valley), but even that's fleeting.  A couple of days of this I can live with, but it's been going on for so long I feel like Bill Murray in Groundhog Day!

It does look like we'll be getting a drying out and a warming up early next week.  Probably by next Wednesday I'll be wishing for a return of the unsettled weather!

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